The share of France's scientific publications in the top 10% of the most-cited aerospace engineering literature is forecasted to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028. In 2024, the projected share stands at 7.84%, decreasing each subsequent year to 6.22% by 2028. Compared to 2023, this indicates a concerning downward trend. The year-on-year variations show a consistent decrease, signaling challenges in maintaining high-impact research outputs in this field. Over the next five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) highlights an average annual decline.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in research funding, international collaboration opportunities, and advancements in aerospace technologies. These factors could influence the visibility and citation frequency of French publications in aerospace engineering. It will be crucial to monitor strategic investments and policy decisions that could reverse or mitigate the declining trend in high-impact scientific outputs.
