The number of subcontracted employees in guard services in Japan was recorded at 4.75 thousand persons in 2023. According to forecasted data, this figure is expected to rise steadily over the next five years: reaching 4.79 thousand in 2024, increasing to 4.83 thousand in 2025, 4.87 thousand in 2026, 4.91 thousand in 2027, and 4.95 thousand in 2028.
The year-on-year variation in this period is modest yet consistent, with each year showing an increase of approximately 0.8% in the number of subcontracted employees. Over the last two years, between 2023 and 2025, the variation is calculated to be around 1.7%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is projected to be about 0.8% annually.
Future trends to watch for include:
• Technological advancements that could lead to either an increased demand for specialized security personnel or, conversely, a reduction in workforce needs due to automation and AI.
• Policy changes and economic factors that might impact the outsourcing of guard services in Japan.
• The impact of demographic changes, such as Japan's aging population, which could influence labor supply in the guard services sector.