Forecast: Maternal Mortality Ratio (Modeled Estimates) in Viet Nam

The Maternal Mortality Ratio (MMR) in Viet Nam showed a significant upward trend from 2013 to 2019, with the ratio rising from 98.0 to 134.0 deaths per hundred thousand live births. This increase was highlighted by consistent year-on-year growth, reaching a peak CAGR of 5.81% in 2018. However, post-2019, the MMR began to decline, reversing this trend, and by 2023, the ratio stood at 104.0, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.45% and a negative CAGR of -4.36% over the last five years.

Forecasts indicate a continued decline in MMR, with projected decreases over the next five years, culminating in an MMR of 91.0 by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is -1.87%, equating to a 9% reduction in MMR over this period.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Improvement in healthcare infrastructure and access to maternal care services could accelerate the downward trend in MMR.
  • Public health initiatives and education campaigns focused on maternal health may further contribute to reducing MMR.
  • External factors such as pandemics or economic downturns could potentially disrupt this positive trend.

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