Forecast: Fresh Ground Water Abstractions for Irrigation in Mexico

The data reveals that fresh ground water abstractions for irrigation in Mexico reached 21.74 billion cubic meters in 2023. Since 2013, abstractions have generally increased. Notably, the year-on-year growth fluctuated, with a peak rise of 12.65% in 2014 and smaller increments in subsequent years. From 2021 to 2023, the growth rate stabilized with slight increases of 1.45% in 2022 and 1.26% in 2023, reflecting a consistent trend. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the last five years stood at 0.93%, indicating a stable but modest upward trajectory.

The forecasted data suggests that the volume will continue to grow, reaching an estimated 23.05 billion cubic meters by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.93% implies a steady albeit slow increase in irrigation water usage.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Technological advancements in irrigation efficiency
  • Government policies regulating water usage
  • Impact of climate change on water availability
  • Shifts in agricultural practices and crop patterns

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