Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Dermatology in the UK

In 2023, the UK's share of top-cited scientific publications in dermatology stood at 13.50%. The forecasted data from 2024 through 2028 indicates a slight decrease in this share, from 13.48% in 2024 to 13.44% in 2028. The year-on-year variation is minimal, showing less than a 0.1% decrease each year. This represents a CAGR of approximately -0.09% over the five-year period, suggesting a very stable yet slightly declining trend.

Future Trends to Watch for:

  • The impact of emerging research initiatives and funding levels in the UK on maintaining or increasing citation impact.
  • Global competition in dermatology research and collaboration across countries influencing publication influence.
  • Technological advancements and data-sharing practices that might affect the visibility and citation of UK-based research.

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