The share of India's dermatology scientific publications among the world's top 10% most-cited stood at 4.50 in 2023. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 show a consistent decline: 4.38% in 2024, decreasing yearly until reaching 3.9% in 2028. This reveals a negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period. The year-on-year decreases are around 2.74% in 2025, 2.82% in 2026, 2.90% in 2027, and 2.99% in 2028.
Future trends to watch:
- Shifting focus towards niche dermatology research areas might counteract the decline in citation impact.
- Potential collaborations with international researchers could boost visibility and citation metrics.
- Increasing investments in research infrastructure and capacity building in dermatology will be crucial to enhancing competitiveness.