The forecast for international students at the doctoral level in France shows a declining trend. The actual number stood at 36.83 persons in 2023. Moving forward, forecasted numbers show a decrease to 36.31 persons in 2024, down to 34.86 persons by 2028. Year-on-year, the student count is projected to fall by approximately 1% each year. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 suggests a consistent decline of around -0.8% per year. Variations over the last two years confirm this negative trend, with a noticeable annual decline.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of changes in immigration policies, the attractiveness of French doctoral programs internationally, and global political-economic shifts that might influence international student mobility. Monitoring these factors could provide insights into potential reversals or accelerations in the current downward trend.