The production of fresh Atlantic horse mackerel in Italy's capture fisheries is projected to decrease steadily from 2024 through 2028. From 2024 to 2025, a reduction of approximately 13.9% is expected. The downward trend continues, with a significant 15.7% decline anticipated from 2025 to 2026. A further 18.1% decrease is projected from 2026 to 2027, and a 21.6% drop from 2027 to 2028. Overall, this results in an average annual reduction rate (CAGR) of around 17.6%, indicating a sharp and consistent decline over the five-year forecast period.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Environmental regulations and their impact on fishing practices.
- Technological advancements in sustainable fishing techniques.
- International demand shifts affecting local production incentives.
- Climate change effects on fish populations and fishing yields.