In 2023, the international road freight volume of dangerous goods in the UK stood as a benchmark against which following forecasts can be compared. From 2024 to 2028, the volume is predicted to decline from 10.18 million vehicle-kilometers to 6.95 million. This demonstrates a year-on-year decrease in volume: 2025 down by approximately 8.1%, 2026 by 8.8%, 2027 by 9.4%, and 2028 by 10.1%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent contraction over this five-year forecast period.

Future trends to watch for:

Regulatory changes and their impacts on transporting dangerous goods internationally.
Technological advancements in safety and logistics systems that could alter volume needs and efficiencies.
Economic factors affecting demand and logistics of dangerous goods across borders.