Forecast: Turnover of Cars, Motorcycles and Spare Parts Markets in China

Between 2013 and 2023, the turnover of the Cars, Motorcycles, and Spare Parts Markets in China exhibited significant fluctuations. From a strong growth in 2013 with a year-on-year increase of 10.78%, the market faced a decline and stability period, oscillating between minor growth and decreases. Notable declines happened in 2018 (-8.17%) and 2020 (-9%), whereas there were rebound periods in 2019 (1.52%) and again in 2021 (9.9%). By 2023, the turnover stood at 6.35 hundred billion Yuans Renminbi, displaying a moderate increase of 1.79% from the previous year. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years (2019-2023) was approximately 0.89%, showing a slight recovery from previous declines.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • A forecasted gradual increase in market turnover, up to 6.9 hundred billion Yuans Renminbi by 2028, with an anticipated five-year CAGR of 1.3%.
  • Potential influences of evolving consumer preferences towards electric vehicles, and advancements in automotive technology.
  • Impact of regulatory policies on the automotive and spare parts sectors, which could either bolster or hinder market growth depending on their nature.

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