In 2023, the total round sardinella production in capture fisheries in Italy was valued at approximately 475.0 thousand euros. From 2024 to 2028, forecasts indicate a consistent decline in production value, starting at 432.55 thousand euros in 2024 and dropping to 266.0 thousand euros by 2028. This represents a decrease of 38.5% over the five-year period, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -11.27%. The year-on-year decline trends are as follows: -9.77% from 2024 to 2025, -10.74% from 2025 to 2026, -11.90% from 2026 to 2027, and -13.37% from 2027 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems, regulatory changes in fishing quotas, and technological advancements in sustainable fishing practices. Monitoring these factors could provide insights into whether the decline in production will stabilize or potentially reverse in the coming years.
