Forecast: Waiting Time for Cataract Surgery in the UK

The mean waiting time for cataract surgery in the UK is forecasted to slightly decrease from 82.3 days in 2024 to 81.3 days by 2028. This subtle decline reflects a gradual improvement in healthcare efficiency. Year-on-year, the waiting time shows a marginal reduction of approximately 0.36% in 2025 and 2026, with a consistent trend over the subsequent years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the period suggests a steady improvement in service delivery efficiency.

Future trends to watch for include the continuous impact of technological advancements in surgical procedures, potential policy changes in healthcare management, and the effectiveness of ongoing efforts to reduce patient backlog, which could further influence waiting times positively.

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