In 2023, China's import of lead ores and concentrates was quantified. Projections for 2024-2028 display a gradual decline from 1.2418 billion kilograms in 2024 to 1.2208 billion kilograms in 2028. This represents a consistent year-on-year decrease of roughly 0.44% annually during this period. The anticipated Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates a subtle downward trajectory of imports, suggesting a decreasing reliance on foreign lead sources.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential shifts in environmental policies affecting lead production and consumption.
Technological advancements influencing lead recycling and efficiency.
Global economic factors altering commodity markets, affecting China’s import needs.