Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine in the US

In 2023, the share of scientific publications in anesthesiology and pain medicine in the US among the top 10% globally stood at 12.5%. From 2024 through 2028, a forecasted decline is observed, with the percentage dropping from 12.37% in 2024 to 11.63% in 2028. Year-on-year decreases average around 1.4%, with a negative compound annual growth rate over the five-year period. This trend indicates a gradual reduction in the competitive positioning of US research in anesthesiology and pain medicine.

Future trends to watch for include increasing international competition in high-impact academic publishing, as global advancements in research capability and funding continue to shift. Monitoring emerging markets for research contributions and collaboration opportunities could influence the trajectory of this trend.

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