In 2023, the railway transport volume of flammable liquids in France stood at 5.3 million metric tons. Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 show a consistent declining trend, beginning at 4.93 million metric tons in 2024 and decreasing annually until reaching 3.36 million metric tons in 2028. The year-on-year reduction shows a decrease of approximately 7-10% each year. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this forecasted period is notably negative, indicating a significant contraction in the railway transport of flammable liquids.
Future trends to watch include the impact of environmental policies promoting cleaner energy alternatives, which might further suppress demand for flammable liquids. Additionally, technological advancements in railway logistics or a shift in industrial demand could alter these downward projections.