The exports of aircraft, spacecraft, and parts thereof from China experienced varied trends between 2013 and 2023. In 2023, this export segment stood at $4.29 billion, reflecting a 12.04% year-on-year increase from 2022. Over the last two years (2022-2023), the sector saw a moderate rebound with a combined growth rate of 17.41%. Analyzing the longer-term trend, the average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years leading up to 2023 was -1.08%, indicating a slight contraction during this period despite sporadic annual growth spurts.
The future outlook through 2028 suggests a steady upward trajectory with a forecasted CAGR of 2.53%, accumulating to an estimated 13.32% total growth over these five years. This positive projection signals a recovery and stabilization in the sector.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Technological advancements in aircraft and spacecraft manufacturing.
- Increasing global demand for commercial and private aerospace solutions.
- Potential impacts of geopolitical factors on international trade policies.
- China's strategic initiatives and investments in the aerospace sector.