In 2023, wheat production in Sweden stood at 1.59 million metric tons. The forecast for 2024 predicts a slight dip to 1.49 million metric tons, which marks a decrease of 6.3% year-on-year. The trend continues in subsequent years with anticipated production levels dropping by approximately 7.2% annually: 1.39 million metric tons in 2025, 1.29 million metric tons in 2026, 1.19 million metric tons in 2027, and 1.09 million metric tons in 2028. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average yearly decline of about 8.9% in wheat production.
Future trends to watch for include climate change impacts, advancements in agricultural technology, and changes in domestic and international demand for wheat. Adjustments in agricultural policies and potential investments in sustainable farming practices could also influence future production levels.