The forecast for Norway’s transport services exports indicates a gradual decline from 2024 through to 2028. Specifically, the values as a percentage of commercial service exports are decreasing year on year: from 44.04% in 2024 to 42.24% in 2028. Comparing 2024 with 2025, there is a slight reduction, similarly observed each subsequent year. Over the five-year period, this could indicate a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) that reveals a slow but steady contraction in the share of transport services exports.

Future trends to watch for:

Emerging technologies in transport and shifts toward greener alternatives could influence transport services exports.
Global economic fluctuations and trade policies impacting demand for Norway’s transport services.
Potential growth in other sectors of commercial services exports which might overshadow transport services.
Changes in international oil prices affecting Norway’s transport logistics and competitiveness.