Forecast: Exports of Biomass in Sweden

From 2013 to 2023, Sweden's biomass exports have experienced fluctuations, demonstrating both growth and decline. As of 2023, the volume stood at 27.15 million metric tons. Over the past two years, there was a slight increase of 0.14%, driven mainly by the significant 26.7% rise in 2021, followed by a 4.62% drop in 2022. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years was 0.63%, indicating a relatively stable but slow upward trend.

Key variations include:

  • 2013-2014 saw an increase of 3.36%.
  • 2015 had a modest rise of 1.8%.
  • 2017 displayed a growth of 4.37%.
  • 2018 showed a significant decline of 7.6%.
  • 2020 experienced a sharp drop of 16.92%.
  • 2021 rebounded with a significant 26.7% increase.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data indicates a steady growth trend, with biomass exports expected to reach 27.43 million metric tons by 2028, reflecting a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.11%. This suggests a period of stability with minimal growth, signaling the importance of maintaining competitiveness in the global biomass market.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Innovations and advancements in biomass production and processing technologies.
  • Changes in global demand and government policies influencing renewable energy.
  • Potential impacts of climate change policies and sustainability initiatives on biomass usage and trade.

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