Forecast: Total Number of Scientific Publications in Biomedical Engineering in Thailand

The total number of scientific publications in Biomedical Engineering in Thailand has seen varied trends over the past decade. There were significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023, with peaks and troughs characterized by a -15.83% variation in 2013, a substantial increase of 11.9% in 2014, followed by a drastic -56.57% in 2015. The publications peaked rapidly again by 96.76% in 2016. The most notable rise was in 2019 at 251.25%, and a rise of 15.03% in 2023, standing at 80.14 publications.

Over the last two years, from 2022 to 2023, there has been a positive growth of 15.03%. However, the five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) observes an average variation of 23.49%. Looking forward, the forecast for 2024 to 2028 indicates a stabilizing trend with a 5-year CAGR of 0.35% and an overall growth rate of 1.74%, suggesting consistency in publication output.

Key trends to watch for in the future involve:

    Potential stabilization in publication volume, apunted by the marginal growth rates.

    Focus on driving higher-quality publications to maintain global competitiveness.

    Impacts of government policy, funding, and technological advancements in driving biomedical research.

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