In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific ophthalmology publications in the US stood at 94.10%. Forecasts for 2024 through 2028 depict a slight and steady decline in this share, starting from 93.83% down to 92.76% by 2028. This reflects a consistent year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.3%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.39% over the forecasted period. These variations suggest a gradual shift in authorship dynamics, indicating potential diversification of collaborative roles in scientific outputs.
Future trends to watch include the influence of multi-author collaborative models, the impact of digital research platforms facilitating wider authorship contributions, and potential shifts in recognition and accreditation standards within the scientific community, specifically in ophthalmology.
