The forecast for the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in gastroenterology in the UK indicates a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 86.71% in 2024, this metric is expected to decrease annually, reaching 84.79% by 2028. This represents an annual decrease of around 0.5%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) demonstrating a consistent downward trend over the five-year forecast period.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of collaborative research efforts, shifts in publication practices, and policies promoting diversity in lead authorship, which may affect the dynamics of authorship roles in scientific publications.
