Forecast: Volume of Rail Passenger Transport in Belgium

The volume of rail passenger transport in Belgium declined from 10.6 billion passenger kilometers in 2013 to 7.94 billion passenger kilometers in 2023. Significant fluctuations include a sharp drop during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, and a decline by 18% in 2023 compared to 2022. The 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2018 to 2023 was -5.45%, indicating a consistent decline. Forecast data suggests further reductions, with the volume expected to reach 6.11 billion passenger kilometers by 2028, marking a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -4.19% and an overall decline of 19.25% from 2023.

Future trends to watch for:

• Potential recovery post-COVID-19 disruptions.

• Impact of sustainable transport initiatives.

• Changes in commuter behavior and remote working trends.

• Investment in rail infrastructure and services.

• Competitive pressures from other modes of transportation.

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