Forecast: Liquefied Natural Gas Export in Oman

The liquefied natural gas (LNG) export volume in Oman stood at 14.97 billion cubic meters in 2023. Over the last two years, the LNG exports witnessed a year-on-year increase of 6.10% in 2022 and essentially stagnated with a marginal increase of 0.13% in 2023. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2018 to 2023 is 1.99%, showing stable but modest growth.

Historical analysis reveals fluctuations in export volumes. Periodic growth phases were observed in 2016 (7.26%) and 2018 (19%), while downturns occurred in 2014 (-8.04%) and 2020 (-6.05%). Over a longer horizon, LNG exports in Oman display resilience and capacity to rebound from periodic declines.

Looking forward, forecasts suggest a very slight increase in LNG export volumes, reaching 15.02 billion cubic meters by 2028. The five-year forecast CAGR is projected at 0.05%, indicating minimal growth. Future trends to watch for include potential advancements in extraction and liquefaction technologies, market demand shifts in Asia and Europe, and geopolitical influences on energy trade routes.

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