In 2024, China’s exports of unwrought tin and tin alloys are forecasted to start at 2.63 thousand metric tons. From 2025 to 2028, exports are expected to steadily decrease. The projected year-on-year decline is substantial, at approximately 21% from 2024 to 2025, around 26% from 2025 to 2026, about 34% from 2026 to 2027, and approximately 51% from 2027 to 2028. Over the forecast period from 2024 to 2028, the cumulative average growth rate (CAGR) indicates a consistent decrease.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential recovery or stabilization in global tin demand post-2028.
Technological advancements in tin smelting and refining processes that could affect production efficiencies.
Geopolitical and trade policy changes impacting export dynamics.
Sustainability pressures potentially driving changes in material usage and sourcing strategies.