Forecast: Share of Surgery Specialists in Germany

The share of surgery specialists in Germany has seen a fluctuating trend over the past decade, with a peak in 2017 at 27.81%. Since then, this percentage has gradually declined, standing at 27.39% in 2023. Year-on-year variations indicate a consistent downward trend over the latest years: -0.4% in 2020, -0.33% in 2021, and -0.25% in 2022, leading to a -0.22% drop in 2023. The 5-year CAGR reveals an average annual decrease of -0.3% during this period. Forecasts predict the continuation of this decline, although at a slower rate, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.08%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential policy changes affecting the healthcare sector.
  • Advancements in medical technology and their impact on the need for human specialists.
  • Societal and demographic changes that may alter the demand for surgical interventions.

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