The forecast for nectarine and peach yields in Japan indicates a consistent downward trend from 2024 to 2028, from 103.29 to 94.35 thousand hectograms per hectare. This reflects a year-on-year decrease of approximately 2.24% each year. In 2023, the yield was higher compared to the forecasted values starting from 2024. The five-year compound average growth rate (CAGR) suggests an average annual decrease of -2.24% over this period.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impacts of climate change on agricultural productivity.
Changes in agricultural practices or technologies that might reverse the declining yield trend.
Government policies or subsidies aimed at supporting fruit farming in Japan.