The forecast for municipal waste disposed in Italy shows a significant annual decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the volume stood at 13.72 million tons. From 2024, forecasts anticipate a steady reduction, with values expected to decrease from 10.96 million tons in 2024 to just 0.66 million tons in 2028. The year-on-year percentage declines are 23.64% for 2025, 30.98% for 2026, 44.47% for 2027, and 79.44% for 2028. Over this five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is negative and stands at approximately -53.54%.
Future trends to watch include the impact of increased recycling initiatives, circular economy policies, and technological innovations in waste management that could further reduce municipal waste volumes. Monitoring the implementation of stricter environmental regulations and public-private partnerships aimed at waste reduction will also be crucial.
