In 2024, the forecasted railway transport volume of secondary raw materials, municipal, and other wastes in France is 255 million tonne kilometers. Projections indicate a gradual decline, with a 2025 volume of 250 million tonne kilometers, decreasing further to 239 million by 2028. This trend reflects an average annual decline of approximately 1.6% over the forecasted period. Year-on-year decreases from 2024 to 2025 and onward show consistent reductions, suggesting steady contraction after the peak in 2024. In 2023, the volume stood at 259 million tonne kilometers.
Future trends to watch include advancements in recycling technologies and regulations that could impact waste transport volumes. The focus on sustainability initiatives and increased recycling efficiency might alter demand for railway transport in this sector.