Forecast: Influenza Immunisation in Germany

The influenza immunization rate for persons aged 65+ in Germany is forecasted to decline gradually from 2024 to 2028, with values decreasing from 42.5% in 2024 to 40.4% in 2028. In 2023, the vaccination rate stood at 43%, indicating a continuous decline year-on-year. Specifically, the yearly decrease from 2024 to 2025 is 1.2%, from 2025 to 2026 is 1.19%, from 2026 to 2027 is 1.2%, and from 2027 to 2028 is 1.46%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period from 2023 to 2028 is approximately -1.22%, reflecting a steady downward trend over these five years.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of public health campaigns on vaccination uptake among the elderly, potential policy changes aimed at increasing immunization rates, and the role of new technologies and vaccines in boosting coverage. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding and potentially reversing the declining trend in influenza immunization rates in Germany's aging population.

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