The share of rail freight transport in Poland stood at 22.5% in 2023. Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 show a declining trend: from 22% in 2024 to 21.3% in 2028. Year-on-year percentage variations show a gradual decrease, reconfirming the downward trajectory. Specifically, from 2024 to 2025, the share drops by 0.18 percentage points, continuing to trend downward each year, albeit more slowly: 0.18 points from 2025 to 2026, 0.1 points from 2026 to 2027, and 0.2 points from 2027 to 2028. The 5-year CAGR amounts to a slight average yearly decline.
Future trends to watch for include emerging technologies in rail transport, potential shifts in policy favoring greener logistics, and competitive dynamics with road freight. Monitoring these factors can help anticipate shifts in market share and strategic positioning for stakeholders in the rail freight sector.
