Forecast: Primary Solid Biofuels Final Consumption in Agriculture and Forestry in Germany

The final consumption of primary solid biofuels in agriculture and forestry in Germany has experienced fluctuations over the past decade. Between 2013 and 2018, there were significant variances, notably a sharp decline in 2014 (-16.68%) and again in 2018 (-8.04%). Recovery was steady from 2019 onwards, highlighted by a 15.07% increase in 2021. The consumption reached 119.32 thousand tonnes of oil equivalent in 2023, showing a positive growth trend with a YoY increase of 2.38%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 stood at 4.17%, indicating a consistent upward trend.

Future trends to watch for:

• Continued growth is forecasted, with a 5-year CAGR of 1.66% leading to an 8.58% overall increase in consumption by 2028.

• Technological advancements in biofuel production and efficiency could further boost consumption.

• Policy changes regarding renewable energy and environmental sustainability will play a critical role in shaping future consumption patterns.