The volume of goods transported by railway national transport in Norway has shown a continuous upward trend. In 2023, the volume stood at 2.92 billion tonne-kilometers. Forecasts indicate that by 2024, this will increase to 2.95, and this growth is projected to continue, reaching 3.1 billion tonne-kilometers by 2028. This reflects an annual growth rate, though relatively modest. Year-on-year variations are approximately 1.36%, 1.34%, 0.99%, and 1.31% respectively for the forecasted years.
Key variations:
- 2024: 2.95 Billion Tonne-Kilometers (+1.02% YoY from 2023)
- 2025: 2.99 Billion Tonne-Kilometers (+1.36% YoY from 2024)
- 2026: 3.03 Billion Tonne-Kilometers (+1.34% YoY from 2025)
- 2027: 3.06 Billion Tonne-Kilometers (+0.99% YoY from 2026)
- 2028: 3.1 Billion Tonne-Kilometers (+1.31% YoY from 2027)
Over a five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is around 1.20%, demonstrating consistent, albeit slow, growth in the transport of goods by railway in Norway.
Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in railway transport, shifts in industrial production and goods demand, investment in railway infrastructure, and environmental regulations that may influence traffic volume. Furthermore, potential economic fluctuations and policy changes could also impact these forecasts.