In 2023, Germany reported 4,600 new and relapse cases of tuberculosis. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 indicates a consistent declining trend, from 4,520 cases in 2024 to 4,270 cases by 2028, marking an annual decrease. The year-on-year percentage decrease is approximately 1.55% from 2024 to 2025, 1.35% from 2025 to 2026, 1.37% from 2026 to 2027, and 1.38% from 2027 to 2028. This results in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -1.40% over the five-year forecast period.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impact of public health measures and vaccination programs on reducing tuberculosis cases.
Changes in healthcare access or policy that might influence detection and treatment.
Global health influences, such as migration or travel, that could affect local case numbers.