Forecast: Financial Services Gross Value Added in Germany

Over the period from 2013 to 2023, the Gross Value Added (GVA) in Germany's financial services sector exhibited moderate growth with fluctuations. Notably, there was a setback in 2016 with a -1.43% year-on-year decline, but a recovery followed, culminating in a GVA of 126.45 billion euros in 2023. On a year-on-year basis, the GVA increased by 1.36% in 2023, and the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2018 to 2023 averaged at 1.32%.

Looking forward, the forecast suggests that the financial services GVA will continue to grow steadily, reaching 134.66 billion euros by 2028. The five-year forecasted CAGR indicates a growth rate of 1%, contributing to an overall increase of 5.1% from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Digital transformation and its impact on operational efficiencies and new service offerings in financial services.
  • Regulatory changes and their influence on market dynamics and competition.
  • Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate changes and economic growth influencing financial sector performance.

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