The forecast for the import of fresh or chilled whole mackerel to China from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady increase, beginning at 45.8 thousand kilograms in 2024 and reaching 52.08 thousand kilograms by 2028. The year-on-year growth rate is approximately 3.5% annually. In 2023, the imports stood at around 44.25 thousand kilograms, indicating a positive and consistent upward trend in import volumes. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2028 is projected to be around 3.32%.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of changes in domestic consumer preferences and demand for seafood products.
Fluctuations in global mackerel supply and any potential trade policy changes.
Technological advancements in cold chain logistics improving import efficiency.