The production of fresh Atlantic Chub Mackerel in Italy's capture fisheries is forecasted to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028. From 2024 through 2028, forecasted production figures show a consistent decrease in metric tons, indicating an ongoing contraction in output. As the production moves from 498.1 metric tons in 2024 to 382.6 metric tons in 2028, year-on-year reductions align around approximately 6% annually.

In 2023, actual production levels were similar or slightly above the 2024 forecast. Over the period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) calculated averages around -6.5%, highlighting a substantial downward trend in mackerel production.

Future trends to watch for include:

Environmental factors and their impact on fish stock levels.
Regulatory changes affecting fishing quotas or sustainability measures.
Shifts in market demand or consumer preferences affecting mackerel production incentives.
Technological developments in capture fisheries potentially altering efficiency or production capacity.