Forecast: Hepatitis B Immunisation in India

India's Hepatitis B immunization rates have shown significant volatility between 2013 and 2023. Starting at 70 units in 2013, immunization rates saw strong double-digit increases up to 2015. The trend began stabilizing with smaller increases up to 2017, hitting a peak in 2018 with 99 units. However, there was a marked decline through 2019 and 2020 before a partial recovery starting in 2021, reaching 93.8 units in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years stood at approximately -1.07%.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data for 2024 to 2028 suggests a gradual increase from 94.6 to 97.6 units. The projected 5-year CAGR is 0.63%, implying modest but steady growth. This suggests an upward correction and stabilization period following the erratic past decade.

Future Trends to Watch For:

  • Improvements in vaccine distribution infrastructure which could lead to higher immunization rates.
  • Government policy changes or new health programs aimed at boosting immunization.
  • Public perception and awareness campaigns on the importance of Hepatitis B vaccination.
  • Global health trends and unexpected events like pandemics which may impact immunization efforts.

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