In 2023, lignite's gross available energy in Germany was recorded at 25.93 million tonnes of oil equivalent. From 2024, forecasts indicate a consistent decline in this energy source, decreasing by an annual average of 1.6 million tonnes of oil equivalent.
The year-on-year percentage variations highlight a gradual reduction of 5.7% in both 2025 and 2026, 6.4% in 2027, and 6.7% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecasted period from 2024 to 2028 shows an average decrease of 5.18% per year.
Future trends to watch for include Germany's increased investment in renewable energy sources as part of its energy transition, potentially accelerating lignite's decline. Additionally, policy changes aimed at reducing carbon emissions could further influence these projections. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the evolving energy landscape in Germany.
