The forecast for direct transfers on all fossil fuels for consumers in Brazil shows a consistent upward trend over the period from 2024 to 2028. Starting from $1.72 billion in 2024, the value is expected to slightly increase each year, reaching $1.76 billion by 2028, marking a steady year-on-year growth of approximately 0.58%. The cumulative growth over this period indicates a moderate rise, reflecting controlled adjustments in fiscal policy or energy-related subsidies. For context, the level of transfers in 2023 stood at a slightly lower base, confirming a positive trajectory from the outset of the forecast.
In the longer term, stakeholders should watch for factors like policy shifts toward renewable energy, potential economic fluctuations, and global fossil fuel market dynamics. These could influence future allocations and the sustainability of subsidy levels, alongside expectations for international commitments toward carbon emission reductions.
