The share of French scientific publications in the top 10% of most-cited papers in AI is forecasted to decline steadily from 2024 through 2028. In 2023, France held a value higher than predicted for 2024. Through the forecast period, the share shows negative year-on-year variations, a significant drop, signaling a consistent downward trend. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) further highlights this declining trend over the five-year horizon.
Future trends to watch include potential shifts in research focus, collaborative efforts to boost citation impact, and global competition dynamics that could affect France’s standing in AI publication prominence.