The forecast for Canada’s 10% top-cited scientific publications in Artificial Intelligence shows a minor downward trajectory from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 46.8 publications in 2024, it gradually decreases by minimal amounts annually, reaching 46.64 publications in 2028. Given the stable values, the year-on-year variation from 2024 onwards exhibits very slight declines, indicating a relatively stagnant trend. In 2023, the actual number of publications was at a comparable rate, slightly higher than the projections.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of increased AI research funding and potential international collaboration, which could reverse the trend and boost publication impact. Additionally, technological advancements and shifts in global research priorities could alter the future landscape of AI research citations in Canada.
