The forecast for cataract surgeries performed on in-patients in France from 2024 to 2028 shows a year-on-year decrease. In 2023, the volume stood at 38 units per hundred thousand persons. In 2024, it is expected to drop to 31.47, representing a 17.17% decline. By 2025, the figure is anticipated to decrease by 22.16% to 24.47. Continuing this trend, 2026 should see a 26.91% reduction to 17.88, and by 2027, a further 34.64% drop to 11.68. Finally, 2028 sees a precipitous fall of 50% to 5.84. The five-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) projects an average annual decline of approximately 25.35%.
Future trends to watch for include technological advances in cataract surgery that might influence procedure demand. There could also be shifts toward outpatient care or alternative treatments that affect in-patient surgery rates. Additionally, population aging and increased healthcare accessibility may influence demand fluctuations post-2028.