The forecast for whole fresh European sprat production in capture fisheries for human consumption in Italy indicates a declining trend from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the production stood at approximately 57 metric tons. Year-on-year, the volumes from 2024 to 2025 decreased by 7.2%, from 2025 to 2026 by 8%, from 2026 to 2027 by 8.4%, and from 2027 to 2028 by 9.2%. Over the last two years, the trend shows a consistent reduction, and the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is approximately -7.2% annually.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of environmental regulations, shifts in consumer preferences towards more sustainable seafood, and potential changes in the availability of European sprat due to climate change. Additionally, market dynamics such as competition from alternative seafood sources and advancements in sustainable fishing technologies could influence production levels.