Forecast: Coking Coal Energy Supply in Italy

In 2023, the coking coal energy supply in Italy stood at 1.44 million tonnes of oil equivalent. Over the last two years, there has been a slight decrease with the supply dropping from 1.44 million tonnes in 2022 to 1.26 million tonnes in 2025, marking a 0.34% decrease year-on-year in 2023. The last five-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) shows an average yearly decline of 3.23%.

From 2013 to 2023, the supply of coking coal in Italy has faced a significant and continuous drop, highlighted by sharp yearly declines in certain years, such as 2014 and 2020, reflecting yearly drops of 22.05% and 27.85% respectively. This trend includes minor recoveries, as seen in 2016 and 2022 where there were slight increases. However, the overall trajectory remains a consistent decrease.

  • Year-on-year variation (2023): -0.34%
  • Last 5-year CAGR: -3.23%
  • Forecast 5-year CAGR (2028): -5.79%
  • Forecast overall 5-year decline rate by 2028: -25.79%

Future trends to watch for include the continued decline in coking coal energy supply, with forecasts predicting a further decrease to 1.09 million tonnes by 2027 and 1.0 million tonnes by 2028. Close monitoring of policy changes, market conditions, and advancements in alternative energy sources will be crucial in understanding the dynamics that could influence the coking coal supply in Italy.

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