The historical data for agriculture groundwater abstraction in Mexico indicates a steady upward trend from 2013 to 2023, rising from 20.78 billion cubic meters in 2013 to 26.34 billion cubic meters in 2023. The year-on-year growth rates have varied, with a significant increase of 11.41% in 2014, but moderate rises in subsequent years, culminating in a 1.43% increase in 2023 compared to the previous year. Over the past 5 years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has been 1.34%.
Looking ahead, the groundwater abstraction volume is forecasted to continue its upward trajectory, reaching 28.15 billion cubic meters by 2028, driven by a 5-year CAGR of 1.05%, reflecting a forecasted overall growth rate of 5.38%. This indicates a more conservative growth pattern compared to the past decade.
Future trends to watch for:
- Technological advancements in irrigation and water management that may improve efficiency and reduce abstraction rates.
- Government policies and regulations aimed at sustainable groundwater usage.
- Climate change impacts, which could alter water availability and demand dynamics in agriculture.
- Shifts in agricultural practices and crop choices that influence water consumption patterns.
