Forecast: Goods Transported by Railway National Transport in Germany

From 2013 to 2023, the volume of goods transported by railway in Germany demonstrated fluctuating trends, peaking in 2013 at 247.47 million metric tons and dropping to 226.27 million metric tons in 2023. This represents a 2.42% year-on-year decrease for 2023, indicating a decline after a sharp growth in 2021. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has been a slight decline of 0.52%, reflecting overall stagnation in railway freight volume.

Looking ahead to the period from 2024 to 2028, the forecast indicates a marginal decline with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -0.05% and an overall decline growth rate of -0.24%. This suggests that the railway transportation market will remain relatively stable, though slightly decreasing, in the medium term.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Changes in logistics and transportation technology that could improve efficiency.
  • Environmental policies impacting the choice of transportation modes.
  • Market dynamics related to economic activity and trade within the European Union.

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