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Air Transportation Support Activities: Forecasting Impact amid Pandemic and Recession Cycles

How Has the Pandemic Influenced Air Transportation Support Activities?

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the segment of support activities for air transportation experienced significant disruption. Ground services, maintenance, and traffic control operations were among those most severely impacted. Financial performance was under pressure as flight suspension and curtailments worldwide led to reduced demand for support services. In many cases, this forced strategic cost management and operational adjustments.

What are the Recessionary Impacts on the Sector?

Historically, recession cycles have imposed volatile behaviour on the air transport support sector, with downturns in the economy correlating to reduced air travel. Spending on support activities is often directly affected as airlines limit their operational scale in response to reduced passenger and cargo volumes. The impact of economic downturns accentuates the sector's vulnerability to exogenous shocks.

What Can We Forecast for This Sector?

Notwithstanding the present challenges, industry indicators suggest a gradual recovery. The pace of this recovery is dependent on several variables, notably the management of the pandemic and the recovery of the global economy. The continuing rollout of vaccines and the resumption of international travel should contribute positively. Amid this dynamic, maintaining flexibility will be pivotal for businesses in the air transport support sector to accommodate unpredictable alterations in demand.

Key Indicators

  1. Global economic growth rate
  2. Airline ticket sales trend
  3. Air cargo volume
  4. Aviation fuel prices
  5. Airport operations data
  6. Airline bankruptcy rates
  7. Government investments in aviation infrastructure
  8. Trends in travel restrictions due to pandemic
  9. Job market trends in aviation support industry
  10. Passenger confidence index