Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Agronomy and Crop Science in the UK

The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in agronomy and crop science in the UK is forecasted to decline gradually from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 76% in 2024, the share is expected to decrease annually, with a year-on-year decline of around 0.82% from 2024 to 2025, and a similar decline expected each subsequent year, reaching 73.55% by 2028.

For future trends, it is important to monitor:

• Potential shifts in research collaboration patterns, perhaps driven by international partnerships.
• The impact of funding policies, which may influence the role of authors in UK publications.
• The evolution of multi-disciplinary research, which could affect the distribution of corresponding authorship.