Forecast: Air Freight Volume in United Arab Emirates

Air freight volume in the United Arab Emirates experienced a fluctuating pattern between 2013 and 2023, reaching 13.32 billion tonne kilometers in 2023. From 2013 to 2017, there was a general upward trend with the highest growth observed in 2013 (17.03%). However, starting from 2018, air freight volumes began to decline, significantly impacted in 2020 (-17.57%) due to global disruptions. The period from 2021 to 2023 saw some recovery, though volumes remained lower compared to earlier peaks.

Looking forward, the forecasted data for 2024-2028 suggests a continuing downward trend, with an average annual decline (CAGR) of -5.31%, leading to a forecasted volume of 9.55 billion tonne kilometers by 2028. This represents an overall reduction of 23.88% over the five-year forecast period.

Future trends to watch for include:

- Innovations in air freight technology that could enhance efficiency and capacity.

- Shifts in global trade patterns and policies, particularly changes affecting the Middle Eastern logistics hub.

- Economic developments in the UAE and its key trading partners, which could either mitigate or exacerbate the forecasted decline.

- Environmental regulations and sustainable practices influencing the air freight industry.

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